ICICI Securities Limited Broker Research reports

L&T Finance (LTF) reported PAT of INR 6.3bn, up 2% QoQ/15% YoY in Q4FY25, translating into RoA of 2.2% and RoE of 10%. In line with guidance, LTF utilised macro prudential buffer of INR 3bn (INR 1bn utilised in Q3FY25) for its rural business finance (RBF) portfolio.

Indraprastha Gas (IGL) reported ~27/31% dip in Q4FY25 EBITDA/PAT, but earnings were still ahead of I-Sec estimates, helped by a small beat on adjusted EBITDA/scm (INR 4.6/scm vs I-Sec est of INR 4.3/scm).

PNB Housing Finance’s (PNBHF) Q4FY25 and FY25 financial performance reflects management’s successful execution of revamped business strategy with retail loan growth at 18% YoY in FY25 exceeding guidance of 17%, GNPL touching 1% as on Mar’25, benign credit cost (as indicated it continued to benefit from strong recovery of INR 3.3bn in FY25) and affordable housing crossing INR 50bn AUM in Mar’25.

UltraTech Cement’s (UTCEM) commentary on short-term challenges (mainly low demand in Q1FY26 and no comments on price hike sustainability) may unnerve a few investors. However, we continue to believe in our sector revival hypothesis (of reducing competitive intensity) and of UTCEM being its largest beneficiary.

KPIT Tech did not provide revenue guidance for FY26, acknowledging uncertain demand environment and soft H1. Though it had strong deal TCV of USD 925mn (+16% YoY) in FY25, it is seeing slow deal ramp-up.

Tata Technologies (TATATECH) has reported a sharp QoQ revenue decline of 4.7% USD in Q4FY25, similar to revenue contraction reported by Cyient-DET (-3% QoQ) and Tata Elxsi (-5.5%), due to: Sharp drop in technology solutions segment -15.6%, slump in auto segment -2.7%.

In May’23, MLIFE had unveiled a strategy of reaching INR 80-100bn of annual residential plus industrial cluster sales by CY28 or 5x in 5 years (CY23-28). While it has achieved FY25 sales bookings of INR 28.0bn, with a healthy launch pipeline having GDV of over INR 390bn as of Mar’25, we estimate FY26/27E sales bookings of INR 36bn/INR 41bn, respectively.

Q4FY25 marks eight straight quarters of strong financial performance and effective execution at SBFC Finance (SBFC). This is evident in its AUM growth outshining the guided range of 5–7% QoQ, better opex to AUM at 4.65% in FY25 vs. 5.34% in FY24, and credit cost at 80–100bps as envisaged earlier, despite the operating environment being mired in tight liquidity, higher delinquencies in unsecured loans and the rising rate cycle.

TVS Motor Company (TVSL) continued to move up the profitability curve in Q4FY25. Excluding PLI benefit of previous quarters, Q4 EBITDA margin stood at 12.5%, up ~120bps/60bps. TVSL expects growth momentum to continue; it expects to outperform industry in both ICE and EV segments in FY26.

Cholamandalam Finance’s (Chola) Q4FY25 performance was broadly in line with highest quarterly PBT-ROTA at 3.6% driven by 30bps QoQ NIM expansion, 10bps QoQ each credit cost and operating expense moderation.

SBI Cards (SBIC) reported a disappointing FY25 with a 20% decline in PAT driven by higher credit cost (9%) and low NIMs (10.8%). While management commentary and execution have ratified possible peaking of both credit cost and cost of funds (CoF), the recovery trajectory remains to be monitored.

Poonawalla Fincorp (Poonawalla) reported mixed Q4FY25 earnings with PAT at INR 0.6bn or 76bps RoA, wherein opex continued to be elevated. However, there was some respite on credit cost front with sequential decline.

In line with our expectations, Macrotech Developers (LODHA) has achieved strong Q4FY25 sales bookings of INR 48.1bn (up 14% YoY).

Shriram Finance’s (Shriram) Q4FY25 financial performance was subdued with a sharp NIM contraction and a spike in credit cost. While headline asset quality improved with GNPL falling to 4.55% vs. 5.38% QoQ, this was driven by higher write-offs at >INR 20bn during Q4FY25.

Dr Lal PathLabs’ (Dr Lal) Q4FY25 results were slightly better than our expectation. Outperformance was driven by higher sample volumes (up 9.5% YoY) and realisation improvement.

Supreme Industries (SI) reported Q4FY25 blended plastics volume growth of 2.3% YoY (6-year CAGR of 9.8%) with pipes segment reporting modest 2.2% YoY volume growth (6-year CAGR of 11.7%) on a high base YoY. Blended EBIT/kg contracted 23.1% YoY to INR16.5 (+19.2% QoQ) as pipes EBIT/kg fell 27.8% YoY to INR 13.3 (+22.3% QoQ), partly due to inventory losses.

Aavas Financiers (Aavas) reported in-line Q4FY25 financial performance, evident in strong 6% QoQ AUM growth, steady 15bps credit cost, 46bps QoQ dip in 1+ DPD to 3.39% and RoA at 3.3%.

Cyient-DET reported a miss on revenue growth and margin in Q4, exiting FY25 with a full-year 3% YoY CC decline, steeper than its (-2.7%) guidance. Transportation vertical’s decline was cushioned by some traction in the aerospace sub-vertical and sustainability.

LTTS reported a slight underperformance on the revenue growth front, caused by the prevailing macro uncertainties. The company missed its 10% YoY guided revenue growth target mildly for FY25. Operating margin, at 13.2%, was down 270bps on account of Intelliswift consolidation impact.

TechM’s turnaround efforts are yielding results with its BFSI portfolio strengthening, large logo additions, a stronger deal TCV run-rate and improvement in margins. Strong new deal TCV growth of 42.6% YoY provides some comfort on FY26 growth outlook.